Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.067951 0.080552 0.094682 0.111680 0.131551 0.154024 0.181345
2025-04-06 0.047263 0.063041 0.082758 0.109113 0.143318 0.186101 0.243556
2025-04-13 0.034973 0.051216 0.073318 0.105392 0.150519 0.211478 0.299754
2025-04-20 0.028639 0.045315 0.069656 0.107439 0.164194 0.245764 0.371232
2025-04-27 0.023833 0.040366 0.066028 0.108260 0.175391 0.277146 0.441934
2025-05-04 0.020162 0.036316 0.062816 0.108775 0.185607 0.307684 0.514567
2025-05-11 0.017478 0.033310 0.060626 0.110312 0.197246 0.341353 0.595703
2025-05-18 0.015664 0.031444 0.059960 0.114134 0.212923 0.383076 0.694598
2025-05-25 0.013148 0.027789 0.055488 0.110411 0.214712 0.401202 0.755023
2025-06-01 0.011512 0.025524 0.053185 0.110245 0.222720 0.430830 0.838717
2025-06-08 0.009994 0.023215 0.050406 0.108675 0.227717 0.455309 0.915419
2025-06-15 0.009128 0.022130 0.049900 0.111521 0.241585 0.497751 1.030370
2025-06-22 0.008007 0.020306 0.047631 0.110507 0.247790 0.526621 1.123396
2025-06-29 0.006918 0.018352 0.044775 0.107817 0.250163 0.548199 1.204549
2025-07-06 0.005925 0.016434 0.041684 0.104109 0.249776 0.563957 1.275368
2025-07-13 0.005420 0.015653 0.041119 0.106125 0.262361 0.608398 1.411608
2025-07-20 0.004908 0.014753 0.040117 0.106935 0.272243 0.648000 1.541545
2025-07-27 0.004442 0.013888 0.039061 0.107444 0.281448 0.687043 1.674346
2025-08-03 0.004076 0.013232 0.038441 0.108963 0.293284 0.733319 1.828462
2025-08-10 0.003839 0.012915 0.038674 0.112741 0.311229 0.795736 2.026633
2025-08-17 0.003347 0.011711 0.036268 0.109061 0.309586 0.811187 2.114630
2025-08-24 0.003035 0.011016 0.035194 0.108897 0.317146 0.849883 2.263153
2025-08-31 0.002715 0.010227 0.033711 0.107345 0.320754 0.879067 2.391051